Tag Archives: Bryce Harper

Nats: The Curse of Mr. Walk-Off?

Watching Ryan Zimmerman hit walk off home runs has been an important part of being a Washington Nationals fan. I gave him his Mr. Walk-Off nickname (DC Sports Bog, The Post) back in 2008 after he beat the Atlanta Braves on Opening Night at Nationals Park.

Zimmerman was about the only joy we had as Nats fans for several seasons it seems and I think the a high percentage of DC fans have dreamed of him hitting a game-winning homer to win the pennant/World Series, etc. He’s OUR guy – he grew up with the franchise. I want him to succeed more than anybody else in Washington uniform, any sport. Is it too much to ask for a little divine providence?

There’s one problem though – check out the years Zimmerman has hit walkoffs:

2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2013
2015

There are two years missing there, two pretty notable years:

2012
2014

To date, those are the only two years that the Nats have made the playoffs, winning the division both times.

correlation
From xkcd 552: Correlation

Oh and Bryce Harper thinks he has a bone-bruise and the Nats are 2.5 back of the New York Mets with a finale in L.A. against Clayton Kershaw followed by road trips to San Francisco and Colorado.

Gulp.

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THRICE HARPER: Free from the shackles of batting gloves, Nats slugger has 3 homer game



Bryce Harper
is doing his part to keep the Washington Nationals winning percentage above his on-base percentage. He’s not making it easy though as he keeps getting on-base with a league leading 26 walks over 29 games. Of course, it isn’t walks that make Harper who he is — it’s power. Yesterday, he hit 3 home runs in his first 3 at bats. His fourth at bat was a sacrifice RBI. He did it all without batting gloves, a rarity in modern baseball. The Nats beat the Miami Marlins 7-5.

I watched the second homer over and over again while waiting for a meeting to start:

For most of the season, Harper’s OBP has exceeded the Nats winning percentage. He’s now at .416 and the Nats are 14-15 which is .482. The hope is the winning percentage will remain higher than Harper’s OBP for the rest of the year. I think it will.

Also, let’s remember that Harper is 22 years old and has never faced a pitcher younger than him. He’s in his fourth season. He’s really good. Even Nats manager Matt Williams (who left Max Scherzer in too long) knows it. Finally.

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nationals-park-opening-day-2015

Always October? Nats have good pitching, poor fielding and only Bryce Harper hitting in Opening Day loss

WASHINGTON, D.C. — When we last saw the Washington Nationals in meaningful action, it was last year’s NLDS. The story was simple — the pitching was good. The fielding was not and Bryce Harper was the only player hitting. The story remained the same in yesterday’s Opening Day loss to the New York Mets.

Max Scherzer started the game with a strike, but walked the first batter. However, he did not allow a hit until two outs in the sixth. Curtis Granderson had walked and SS Ian Desmond dropped a short fly that was rightfully 2B Dan Uggla’s ball. Lucas Duda singled them home to give the Mets and insurmountable 2-1 lead.

Another Desmond error, this time a short-hopped throw to first base that we hope Ryan Zimmerman will learn to get cost Nats another run. Is there anything that says April in Washington more than cherry blossoms, tourists, pollen and Ian DE6MOND making errors?

Scherzer finished with eight strikeouts, zero earned runs and a big L next to his name. His opposite number, Bartolo Colon, also struck out eight, giving up only a hit to Michael A. Taylor and a homer and single to Harper. Jerry Blevins, the former Nat, struck got Harper out and then was promptly removed. The Mets have already figured out Blevins is a LOOGY, something Matt Williams never did.

I wasn’t surprised Colon beat the Nats, I mentioned that likelihood in the Q&A with Eric McErlain, but I was surprised that Colon was hitting 92 on the radar gun.

OTHER NOTES FROM THE PARK

First off, a big thanks to Joe Riley for the ticket. We were in 309 which gave a good view of the fire from Capitol Heights which was behind the Blue Smoke sign. Joe was on top of it when he said “great product placement” or something to that effect.

The weather was absolutely perfect and we were seated in the shade. Best Opening Day weather ever.

Remember WGAY? The “easy listening” station, gone from D.C. airways since the 1990s? Apparently it’s been resurrected as the in-stadium music during the opposition batting practice. The idea is that it mellows out the visitors bats. Welp, the Mets had five hits and one error while the Nats had 3 hits and 2 errors. Let’s blame that for the loss, shall we? And Desmond.

On the bright side, the piped in music seemed a little less during the actual game.

#signduanedargin Nine year-old Duane Dargin of the Washington Nationals Dream Academy threw out the best first pitch (DC Sports Bog, The Post) I’ve ever seen for the commissioner Rob Manfred. Sign him now!

Speaking of Manfred, the worst kept secret in MLB was confirmed with D.C. getting the 2018 All-Star game. I’d rather it have been Nats TV rights, but this is okay. Ted Lerner really wanted it (The Post), having attended the 1937 edition at Griffith Stadium.

We had an asynchronous national anthem and fighter jet flyover. #foreshadowing

It must be time for a rubber chicken sacrifice!

The Nats are now on a 161-1 pace.

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2014 Washington Nationals: Denouement

Last month, the Washington Nationals of 2014 completed the 4th best season in DC baseball history, but a second division title — they ran away with the National League East still yielded a first round exit. In the NLDS, they faced the San Francisco Giants, winners of the play-in game and lowest seeded team in NL, but eventual world champions. Four games later, the Nats were eliminated, despite strong pitching. Some strange mental errors and an opportunistic Giants squad overtook the Nats for two reasons:

The Nats bats with four days off did not hit. Anthony Rendon and Bryce Harper, the two youngest hitters on the team, were able to handle being pitched to low and a way. The rest of the lineup was largely helpless and the manager of the Nats, Matt Williams made no adjustments to the lineup, leaving Harper at 6th throughout the whole series. Questions about that decision-making as well as hitting coach Rick Shu are there to be asked.

Williams decision making has been fairly scrutinized. I don’t mind that he pulled Jordan Zimmermann in Game 2 with two outs in the ninth after yielding a walk. Facing Buster Posey for a fourth time with a tired arm wasn’t ideal. It just didn’t work out that Drew Storen did not get it done.

Game 4 proved to be much more baffling as Williams inserted Aaron Barrett into the 7th inning of an elimination game on the road instead of Tyler Clippard or Drew Storen. Stephen Strasburg, who had a decent Game 1 start, was also available, but my view is the best relievers available were the best choice. Williams never called for them and the Nats fell.

Was Williams management of the NLDS a fireable offense? Probably not, but I’m not saying I’d be disappointed; I could get used to spelling “Weird Wuss” with curly Ws, I think. His peers voted him NL Manager of the Year, perhaps in the way that I would suggest Hunter Strickland needs a larger stage, like closer on an NL East team. The Nats were not ready for playoff baseball, likely in part due to their success in the last month of season where the dominated weak NL East teams in the New York Mets and Miami Marlins. That schedule can’t be helped – it’s just the way it worked out. However, sticking to a lineup that wasn’t producing and sticking to bullpen roles rather than game situations is hardly unique to Williams.

Or maybe it was the red jerseys.

Now, let’s review the roster:

THE LINEUP

Denard Span‘s NLDS was a microcosm of the Nats year — when he hit, they tended to win. When he didn’t, they lost. 2014 was his most productive season, setting a modern DC hits record. Unfortunately, he only hit in game 3.

Anthony Rendon put up superstar numbers, led the NL in runs and played third base well. He also hit in the NLDS, going 7 for 20.

Adam LaRoche had a typical streaky season, but still played 140 games, had a .362 OBP, hit 26 homers and drove in 92 runs. He also hit a walk-off against the Arizona Diamonbacks in extra innings. He is done in D.C. as there will be no spot for him with Ryan Zimmerman headed to 1st.

Jayson Werth had another strong season at the plate (.292/.394/.455), but was useless in the NLDS. Really useless. His defense is starting to slip, so perhaps a move to left is in order. He also drives too fast.

Bryce Harper garnered more controversy than he deserved and miss significant chunks of time, but after he returned he was pretty much the same outstanding player he’s been his whole career. He also hit three homers in the NLDS. When he’s healthy he’s awesome.

Ryan Zimmerman
couldn’t stay healthy, first injuring his thumb and then tearing his hamstring. He’s done playing third base on a regular basis due to his arthritic shoulder and will probably move to first next season. He’s still a great hitter and not playing third may keep him in the lineup, though he got injured on the basepaths. He continues to be a consummate professional.

Ian Desmond strikes out a ton and tends to make more errors than he should, especially early in the season. He’s in a contract year and with no viable second baseman on the roster, he’ll probably be resigned and continue to put up 20-20 numbers for a few more seasons, but strike out a ton.

Wilson Ramos stared the season batting cleanup, couldn’t make it out of the first game without a trip the DL. He only played 88 games and runs very slowly. Aside from the WILLLLLL-SSSSSSON chant, a forgettable year in several respects. It’s still worth mentioning that the Nats traded Matt Capps for him.

Asdrubal Cabrera was solid at second base for the most part after being acquired from Cleveland for the stretch run and even had a decent NLDS compared to other Nats hitters (ejection notwithstanding) but is probably on his way out. A decent acquisition though, if only to keep Danny Espinosa out of the lineup.

THE ROTATION

Stephen Strasburg tried to hard to make a slider work, but in an up and down season still tied for the NL lead in strikeouts, pitched 30 more innings and walked fewer. He gave up more hits, but locked in during the stretch. His postseason debut was okay, but poor defense helped lead to an early departure.

Doug Fister
got traded for Robbie Ray and hero to fans of a certain age Steve Lombardozi. Fister went 16-6 in 25 starts with only 24 walks and no stolen bases. He also won Game 3. Good trade Mike Rizzo.

Jordan Zimmermann had a very strong 2014, earning an All-Star bid, being arguably the Nats best pitcher and throwing the first no-hitter in D.C. since the Hoover administration. He had an unflappable demeanor and came within one out of a complete game shutout in Game 2, but he walked Joe Panik when umpire ___ squeezed the zone a bit and got lifted. So close…2015 will likely be his final year in D.C. as he is a free agent after the season and indications are he’s ready for a change of scenary.

Gio Gonzalez can be an outstanding pitcher when he’s trusting his curve ball. When he isn’t, he runs into trouble. Always known for a high pitch count, Gonzalez has had trouble in three starts over two postseasons and is prone to brutal fielding lapses. He’s signed the longest of anyone in the rotation.

Tanner Roark was the player the Nats got for the Cristain Guzman rental. If he never pitches another game, it was robbery. Thirty-one starts, 2.85 ERA, 15 wins. That’s after going 7-1 in 2013.

THE BULLPEN

Tyler Clippard, while pigeon-holed into the 8th inning with a lead spot, continued to be a reliable, durable reliever. He did not fare well when sent into close, but overall remained the most consistent fireman on the team AND WHY WOULDN’T YOU USE HIM IN AN ELIMINATION GAME, MATT WILLIAMS?

Drew Storen had a bounceback regular season that had him return to closing late, but that is overshadowed by his giving up the tying run in Game 1 and even giving up a run in Game 3. Seemingly, he’s next year’s closer though Clippard should get a shot.

Rafael Soriano had a strong first half as closer, but fell off the table and almost off the roster in the playoffs. He’s not coming back.

Aaron Barret – Joe West broke him. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it. He shouldn’t have been brought in late in an elimination game.

Jerry Blevins was great against lefties. And only lefties. Why do I know this and #9 doesn’t?

Craig Stammen had some big long relief appearances and continiued to be solid.

Ross Detwiler did not make the playoff roster and did not have the faith of the management. It’s a far cry from 2012 when he made the best start of the playoffs that year. He’s headed out of town.

There is some discussion that next year will be a last shot with the current core as Zimmermann and Desmond are in the final years of their contracts. I expect Desmond will be signed and Zimmermann will follow the money to a city not too far from a rural area. Span’s option has got to be picked up because he provides value on the field or as a trade piece. Who plays second base is undetermined. Werth is showing his age in right and will be hard pressed to match those numbers again. Maybe switch him and Harper in the outfield. An extension for Fister wouldn’t upset me and I’m okay with dangling Gio out to other teams. THe NL East should be more challenging as the Marlins and Mets are showing signs of ascendency. The Phillies are not a factor and the Braves stayed in it longer than they really should have in 2014. More divisional competition may help the Nats out and keep them sharp too.

It’s been over two weeks since the season ended and I still miss it. We’ve got the hot stove, winter meetings and of course the court figths with the Baltimore Orioles ahead, but that’s just not the same being able to turn on Charlie & Dave and listen to a game 5 nights a week.

It’s 152 days until Opening Day.

HIGHLIGHTS

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